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Sunday, October 31, 2004
| Polls listed chronologically. All data are from nationwide surveys of Americans 18 & older. |
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Democracy Corps Poll conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D). Oct. 29-30, 2004. N=500 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.4. |
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"Thinking about the elections in November, if the election for president were held today and the candidates were Republican George Bush and the Democrat John Kerry, for whom would you vote: George Bush or John Kerry?" As of 9/26-28, Nader included only in states where he is on the ballot. Trend includes slight variation in wording. |
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George
Bush |
John
Kerry |
Ralph
Nader |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
10/29-30/04 |
47 |
48 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
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10/26-28/04 |
47 |
49 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
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10/26-27/04 |
46 |
49 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
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10/24-25/04 |
47 |
49 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
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10/20-21/04 |
47 |
49 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
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10/17-18/04 |
47 |
50 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
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10/14-16/04 |
47 |
50 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
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10/10-11/04 |
48 |
48 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
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10/3-5/04 |
48 |
49 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
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9/26-28/04 |
49 |
46 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
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9/19-21/04 |
47 |
45 |
5 |
0 |
3 |
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9/12-14/04 |
47 |
45 |
3 |
1 |
4 |
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9/6-9/04 |
48 |
45 |
4 |
0 |
4 |
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8/2-5/04 |
44 |
49 |
4 |
0 |
2 |
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7/10-13/04 |
45 |
48 |
4 |
1 |
3 |
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6/14-17/04 |
45 |
45 |
6 |
1 |
3 |
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5/10-13/04 |
45 |
46 |
6 |
1 |
3 |
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4/19-22/04 |
47 |
44 |
6 |
0 |
3 |
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FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Oct. 29-30, 2004. N=1,377 registered voters nationwide (MoE ± 3); 1,200 likely voters (MoE ± 3). |
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"If the election for president of the United States were held today, would you vote for Republican George W. Bush, Democrat John Kerry, or independent candidate Ralph Nader?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Names rotated. As of 9/21-22, Nader only included in states where he is on the ballot or his status is unresolved. |
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. |
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George
W. Bush |
John
Kerry |
Ralph
Nader |
Other (vol.)/
Not Sure |
Wouldn't
Vote (vol.) |
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% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
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Among likely voters: |
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10/29-30/04 |
46 |
46 |
1 |
7 |
- |
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10/28-29/04 |
47 |
45 |
1 |
7 |
- |
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10/27-28/04 |
50 |
45 |
- |
5 |
- |
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10/17-18/04 |
49 |
42 |
2 |
7 |
- |
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10/3-4/04 |
47 |
45 |
1 |
6 |
1 |
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9/21-22/04 |
46 |
42 |
1 |
11 |
- |
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. |
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9/7-8/04 |
47 |
43 |
3 |
7 |
- |
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8/24-25/04 |
43 |
44 |
3 |
10 |
- |
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8/3-4/04 |
43 |
47 |
2 |
8 |
- |
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7/20-21/04 |
43 |
44 |
3 |
9 |
1 |
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. |
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Among registered voters: |
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10/29-30/04 |
45 |
47 |
1 |
7 |
- |
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10/28-29/04 |
46 |
46 |
1 |
7 |
- |
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10/27-28/04 |
48 |
46 |
1 |
5 |
- |
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8/3-4/04 |
42 |
46 |
2 |
9 |
1 |
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7/20-21/04 |
43 |
42 |
4 |
10 |
1 |
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6/22-23/04 |
47 |
40 |
3 |
9 |
1 |
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6/8-9/04 |
42 |
42 |
3 |
12 |
1 |
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5/18-19/04 |
40 |
40 |
3 |
15 |
2 |
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4/21-22/04 |
42 |
40 |
2 |
14 |
2 |
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3/23-24/04 |
43 |
42 |
3 |
10 |
2 |
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2/18-19/04* |
43 |
42 |
4 |
9 |
2 |
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* Nader identified as Green Party candidate in 2/04 poll. |
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"If the election for president of the United States were held today, would you vote for Republican George W. Bush or Democrat John Kerry?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Names rotated |
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. |
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George
W. Bush |
John
Kerry |
Other (vol.)/
Not Sure |
Wouldn't
Vote (vol.) |
|
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% |
% |
% |
% |
|
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|
Among likely voters: |
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10/29-30/04 |
46 |
47 |
6 |
1 |
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10/28-29/04 |
47 |
45 |
8 |
- |
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10/27-28/04 |
50 |
45 |
5 |
- |
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10/17-18/04 |
48 |
43 |
7 |
2 |
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10/3-4/04 |
48 |
45 |
6 |
1 |
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9/21-22/04 |
45 |
43 |
11 |
1 |
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9/7-8/04 |
47 |
45 |
7 |
1 |
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8/24-25/04 |
44 |
45 |
9 |
2 |
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8/3-4/04 |
43 |
48 |
8 |
1 |
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7/20-21/04 |
44 |
45 |
9 |
2 |
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. |
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Among registered voters: |
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10/29-30/04 |
45 |
47 |
6 |
2 |
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10/28-29/04 |
46 |
46 |
8 |
- |
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10/27-28/04 |
47 |
47 |
5 |
1 |
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8/3-4/04 |
43 |
46 |
9 |
2 |
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7/20-21/04 |
44 |
44 |
10 |
2 |
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6/22-23/04 |
48 |
42 |
8 |
2 |
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6/8-9/04 |
43 |
45 |
10 |
2 |
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5/18-19/04 |
42 |
42 |
13 |
3 |
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5/4-5/04 |
44 |
41 |
13 |
2 |
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4/21-22/04 |
43 |
42 |
12 |
3 |
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4/6-7/04 |
43 |
44 |
12 |
1 |
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3/23-24/04 |
44 |
44 |
10 |
2 |
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3/3-4/04 |
44 |
44 |
11 |
1 |
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2/18-19/04 |
45 |
45 |
9 |
1 |
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2/4-5/04 |
47 |
43 |
9 |
1 |
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1/21-22/04 |
49 |
42 |
8 |
1 |
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1/7-8/04 |
54 |
32 |
12 |
2 |
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7/03 |
54 |
35 |
8 |
3 |
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5/03 |
58 |
29 |
11 |
2 |
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12/02 |
57 |
29 |
12 |
2 |
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American Research Group Poll. Oct. 28-30, 2004. N=1,500 registered voters nationwide (MoE ± 2.5); 1,258 likely voters (
Posted at 03:28 pm by blog swarm
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