Monday, November 01, 2004
Kerry Landslide: 25-40% chance
Eric Alterman:
I predicted a Kerry win about two weeks ago based on new registration numbers and the inability of pollsters to reach new voters, which would go overwhelmingly for Kerry—or more accurately, against Bush. I’m sticking with that one. All that poll-thumbsucking will prove to be a massive, misleading waste of time, just as it did four years ago, as yesterday’s "news" turns into tomorrow’s fish and chips paper.
I’ll go further, I think there’s at minimum, a twenty-five percent chance—maximum, forty-percent chance--of a Kerry landslide. As everything in the news recently—including Mr. bin Laden, who by the way, can apparently run AND hide (at least so long as his enemies are off fighting imaginary terrorists thousands of miles away as he sits pretty among his warlord protectors)--has served to remind voters of what an unprecedented disaster this administration is. Bush, Cheney and Rove have sought to scare people silly—literally—to try to convince them to forget how asleep at the switch they were before September 11th; how panicky they were on the day of the attack, and how mendacious, ideological and incompetent they’ve been virtually every day since. Much of the mainstream media has bought into their campaign of fear, but I don’t think ultimately, all that many Americans will.
Posted at 05:47 pm by blog swarm