Before I open the envelope again, I need to clarify a point I made yesterday. The Bin Laden tape of October 29th may seem to be a humdinger of an October Suprise-for Bush. However, with a Democracy Corps poll showing that voters are more likely to think negatively of Bush (by a 46-36 margin) after the Bin Laden tape, I honestly think that the whole episode will be, at worst, a wash for both candidates, and at best a slight Kerry boost. Polling is showing little or no change from 10/29 so far, so my predictions have remained unchanged. Anyway, here we go:
MONTANA- Montana's come a long way from giving Dukakis 46% in 1988 and going for Clinton in 1992. Now a Republican bastion on the National level, it will give its electoral votes to Bush easily. Bush 56, Kerry 40, Others 4
MT Gov: Democrat Brian Schweitzer has led the Governor's race here throughout the campaign, despite the lean of the state. Part of this is due to the massive unpopularity of Governor Judy Martz, and also due to Schweitzer picking a moderate GOP State Senator as his running mate. Schweitzer is up by 5 according to Mason-Dixon, and while Bush will have coatails, I don't believe it will make the difference. Schweitzer 51, Brown 47, Others 2
NEBRASKA-As the color of their beloved football team, the Cornhuskers is red, it should come as no suprise that Nebraskans like voting for another "red" team-the GOP. Consider Bush a lock here. Bush 62, Kerry 36, Others 2
NE-1: On the other hand, the Democrats manage to do just fine on a statewide and local level, with Senator Bill Nelson and ex-Senator Bob Kerrey as testaments to that. Here in NE-1, the race is tight, with GOPer Jeff Fortenberry barely ahead (42-38) of Democrat State Sentor Matt Connealy. With Nebraska House Speaker Curt Bromm defending Connealy over negative NRCC ads (Bromm lost to Fortenberry in the GOP primary), and with a high turnout expected, I think Connealy can pull off the upset. Connealy 50, Fortenberry 48, Other (Green) 2
NE-2: While a poll for Dem State Senator Nancy Thompson had her right behind Congressman Lee Terry, indy polls have Terry far ahead. Who to believe? Well, in 2000 those same Indy polls had Ben Nelson ahead by 25 a week before the election, and he won by 2. Go figure. While I believe Terry will hold on, it will be a closer election than previously though. Terry 53, Thompson 45, Others 2
NEVADA-With polls showing a close race here in Nevada (Bush being ahead well inside the MOE), it's hard for me to decide who will win here. Yucca Mountain has really hurt Bush, but Kerry hasn't been able to take advantage of it. In the end, GOTV will be truly key. With Bush ahead on average, and close to 50%, I think he'll prevail here narrowly. Bush 50.1, Kerry 48. 5, Others 1.4
NV US Senate- If any of the top GOP leaders in Nevada had chose to run in 2004, Senator Harry Reid might have lost. Certainly he wouldn't be in a cakewalk over Richard Ziser, a GOP anti-gay activist. With polls showing Reid ahead by double digits, the Nevada Democrat will win by his biggest margin yet. Which isn't saying much, being that his previous one was by 10 in 1992.
Reid 55, Ziser 41, Others 4
NV-3: Boy, how much would I love to say that Tom Gallagher will win. Tom is one of the best candidates and one of the nicest guys running this year, and I'm genuinely impressed with his efforts. While Mason-Dixon does have Gallagher closing to 10 points behind GOP incumbent Jon Porter, Porter simply has too big a lead to lose it all on E-Day. With Kerry likely to do well here, Gallagher should close the gap, but not enough. Porter 50, Gallagher 45, Others 5
NEW HAMPSHIRE- This is the most likely state to turn from Bush to Kerry in 2004. Polls are showing Kerry up by anything from 2 to 5 points, and Nader is not as crucial as he was in 2000 (when he cost Gore the state). This one will be called before midnight for Kerry, and while it only has four electoral votes, it's four that Bush will not get from his 2000 showing. Kerry 51, Bush 46, Others 3
NH-GOV: Governor Craig Benson has had an unpopular administration, and Democrat John Lynch has run an excellent campaign. Polls are showing Benson recovering from his early October slump (he was down by 10 at one point!), and the race is now a tossup. With Kerry likely to win here, I think his coatails will pull Lynch over the top by a narrow margin. Benson will be the first Governor in NH since 1962 to lose after one term. Lynch 51, Benson 49
NH US Senate-I love Granny D, for the courage to run at age 94 for the US Senate. With her feisty and combative edge, her common-sense approach and her activism, Granny D would make a great US Senator. Unfortunately, she's up against a popular Republican Senator, Judd Gregg, who has a massive lead in the polls due to that popularity. Gregg will win here easily.
Gregg 64, Granny D 35, Others 1
While Democrat Paul Hodes in NH-2 has been rapidly closing the gap against GOP Congressman Charlie Bass, he doesn't have enough time to close it entirely. With Kerry likely to win the 2nd District by at least 5 points (Gore won it by 2 in 2000), Hodes will put in a close, but losing effort.
Bass 51, Hodes 47, Others 2
NEW JERSEY-Being stationed here in New Jersey, and having numerous contacts in NJ politics, I can state with certainty that New Jersey will vote for John Kerry solidly on E-day. Why? Well, for one thing, the most accurate predictor in NJ politics, Fairleigh Dickinson College, has Kerry up 47-40 as of a few days ago. 40% is political death for Bush here, and with those kind of numbers I simply don't see him winning the state, or even coming close. The Garden State will be called by 9PM on E-night for Kerry.
Kerry 55, Bush 42, Others 3
NJ-5: Yes, I know that Scott Garrett is a "safe" incumbent, and that he will (most likely) win in his GOP-leaning district. However, I have been in touch with his opponent, Anne Wolfe for a long time, and I simply have to say a good word for her. Anne is a true public servant, a common-sense moderate and a wonderful person to know. She's been endorsed by every major paper in the district, from the Bergen Record to the Star-Ledger to the Herald News, and has waged a smarter and more effective campaign then Ann Sumers did in 2002, with far less money. Garrett's incumbency and the fact that the district will vote for Bush (it gave him a six-point win in 2000) will get him reelected, but Anne will run much better than Sumers did.
Garrett 54, Wolfe 45, Others 1
NJ-7: On the other hand, I am very pleased to say that my Congressional district will feature an upset this year. While most pundits have allowed NJ-7 to fall off the radar screen, I haven't. Steve Brozak (D) has run an aggressive campaign, while Mike Ferguson (the GOP Incumbent) has been somewhat lax in his efforts recently. With the recent spat of good news for Brozak (getting a positive review on primetime NBC news and being endorsed by several papers), and with his TV ads constantly running on the major networks, I have a strong feeling he will win. With Kerry likely to either tie or finish ahead of Bush here, Ferguson can't count on any coatails either. Brozak will win here in a mild upset. Brozak 51, Ferguson 47, Others 2
NEW MEXICO- Another tossup state, another tough call. Polls have been showing anything from a tossup to a slight Bush lead, and I can't honestly say that Kerry will walk away with this state easily. Can Kerry prevail here? It will come down to GOTV, and here Bill Richardson comes in. The New Mexico Governor wants to run for President, and the best way to earn some chips for 2012 (or, God forbid, 2008) would be to deliver New Mexico for Kerry. It will be very close, but I think Kerry will pull it out. Will it go down to 366 votes again? I doubt it, but Kerry's margin is not going to be comfortable.
Kerry 48.7, Bush 47.6, Others 4.7 (Badnarik will finish ahead of Nader)
NM-1: Polls are now showing Heather Wilson (GOP Inc.) pulling away from Democrat Richard Romero, after being tied with him last month. She now leads 51-43, which sounds pretty secure. As a result, I'm changing my prediction from Romero to Wilson, although the margin will still be closer than in 2002 (55-45).
Wilson 52, Romero 48
Steve Pearce in NM-2 will also prevail, leading Democrat Gary King by a 50-38 margin currently. The margin should be somewhat bigger than in NM-1, probably 5-7 points.
NEW YORK-Does anyone remember 2002, when the GOP felt because of 9/11 that Bush would be competitive here? Oops. That idea is now long dead, and the only question is whether Kerry can best Gore's crushing victory here in 2000 (60-35). I don't think that will be the case, but it will still be a decisive win. Kerry 59, Bush 38, Others 3
NY US Senate-Chuck Schumer's ads are all over TV, and not a peep from Republican Howard Mills. While Mills at least won't finish in 3rd place behind Conservative Marilyn O'Grady, he'll get crushed. Schumer 65, Mills 25, O'Grady 8, Others 2
NY-1: With Kerry winning easily on Long Island, so too will Congressman Tim Bishop (D), who was the upset winner of 2002. His GOP opponent, Bill Manger has put up a stiff fight, but Bishop should still win fairly easily.
Bishop 54, Manger 44, Others 2
NY-13: GOP Congressman Vito Fossella's been getting a feisty challenge from ex-Supreme Court Justice Frank Barbaro. At 76, Barbaro's running a heck of a strong grassroots campaign, and will do much, much better than Fossella's earlier opponents, but Fossella should still be able to prevail. If he doesn't, look for it as an indicator of Speaker Pelosi in 2005. Fossella 52, Barbaro 46, Others 2
NY-27: When GOPer Jack Quinn retired unexpectedly earlier this year, it was expected that the GOP would lose the seat. However, Democrat Brian Higgins has not been a strong candidate, and GOPer Nancy Naples has put up a stiff fight. Still, with Kerry winning big here and with Buffalo Democrats doing GOTV big time, Higgins will pick up the win. Higgins 52, Naples 48
NY-29: Despite my enthusiastic support of Sam Barend, I do have to temper my optimism here. In the end, Randy Kuhl was able to somewhat neutralize the damaging information on his marriage by attacking Sam on it, rather unfairly. I'm still hopeful that Sam will upset Kuhl, but having to temper my optimism means that Kuhl should prevail here. Look for Sam in the near future, however, to continue her efforts in public service. Kuhl 50, Barend 44, Assini 4, Others 2
NORTH CAROLINA-Despite picking John Edwards as his running mate, Kerry was never able to make the state a tossup. Bush has maintained a narrow lead here, and will probably win the state by a reduced margin from 2000.
Bush 53, Kerry 46, Others 1
NC US Senate-On the other hand, the Democrats have a tossup seat to defend in North Carolina, where Democrat Erskine Bowles and GOPer Richard Burr are neck-and-neck, after a short Burr advantage closed again a few days ago. R-2000 has the race tied, as does Mason-Dixon. With turnout being key, and with Bush not winning the state by a strong margin, I think Bowles should narrowly hold on. But this one will be the closest one of the night. Bowles 49.7, Burr 49.1, Others 1.2
NC-Gov: An easy pick, however, is Governor Mike Easley. GOPer Patrick Ballantine never took off, and Easley has been a popular Governor. Look for Easley to win by a landslide, helping the Democrats in the statewide office races. Easley 56, Ballantine 41, Others 3
NC-11: Democrats have been trying to knock off Congressman Charles Taylor for years now. This year, they will finally succeed. Democrat Pasty Keever has run an excellent campaign, while Taylor has been on the defensive for most of it. With indy and Democratic polls showing it a dead heat, the undecided voters will elect Keever to Congress. Keever 51, Taylor 48, Others 1
NORTH DAKOTA-I'm not even going to give Bush the honor of why he will win here. He will, and will win big. That's all there is to it. Bush 60, Kerry 36, Others 4
ND US Senate-If ex-Governor Schaeffer had chosen to run, Senator Byron Dorgan would be fighting for his political life along with Tom Daschle. Luckily, he faces minor opposition from Mike Liffrig, and will win easily.
Dorgan 63, Liffrig 35, Others 2
OHIO-Turnout will be the key here for Kerry. With registration up by an incredible amount, especially in the urban areas of the state, and with polling showing Kerry narrowly ahead, I'm going to call this one for Kerry without much hesitation. After all the talking, Ohio will resemble Pennsylvania from 2000-a tossup that went to the Democrat by a decent margin.
Kerry 51, Bush 47, Others 2
OH US Senate-Drowned out in the Presidential race has been the Senate race, with GOP Incumbent George Voinovich well ahead of State Senator Eric Fingerhut. Fingerhut will benefit from Kerry's win here, however, and should be able to finish well. Voinovich will still prevail easily, however.
Voinovich 54, Fingerhut 44, Others 2
OH-3: With Kerry likely to win big in this district, and with Jane Mitakides pulling very close to GOP incumbent Mike Turner, I'm going to call this one a pickup for the Democrats. Mitakides will benefit enormously from ACT and the GOTV operations in Dayton and outside of that city, and with voter registration in the district favoring the Democrats, it should prove enough to give Jane the win. Mitakides 50, Turner 47, Others 3
OH-14: Democrat Capri Cafaro has run an agressive race here, fueled by her personal funds and GOP Inc. Steve LaTourette's marital problems. Cafaro has also benefited greatly from the GOTV operations in Ohio, and with all that combined, I believe she will also pull off a victory. She will become the youngest woman ever elected to Congress. Cafaro 52, LaTourette 48
OKLAHOMA- Bush is a lock here-the question is, can he pull Coburn (the GOP Senate nominee) to victory as well? It will depend on his margin here, and with polls showing varying results (between a low of 12 and a high of 3o), I'm going to settle with the average. Bush 59, Kerry 38, Others 3
OK US Senate-This race is quite close, to say the least. If it were in any less of a Bush state Coburn would be toast, after his wildly eccentric comments time and again. No polls have come out since his most recent one, which was interpreted as saying that blacks are genetically inferior. If they show any movement, it will be towards Brad Carson. In the end, Carson's challenge is to win enough Republicans to squeak out a win. I think he can do it, although Indy Sheila Bilyeu will keep both men well under 50%. Carson 47, Coburn 46, Bilyeau 7
OREGON-Look for a rather easy Kerry win here. It's sort of become a second-tier top-tier race, if that means anything. With Kerry ahead in most of the polls by a decent margin, he'll prevail here by much more than Gore did (7,000 votes). Kerry 52, Bush 45, Others 3
OR US Senate-Wyden in a walk. Wyden 62, King 36, Others 2
OR-1: There has been a lot of talk about Congressman David Wu losing his seat due to a sex scandal. Luckily, his GOP opponent, Goli Ameri chose to run TV ads blasting Wu on it, but they seem to have backfired in the media. Wu should hold on here, but I doubt he'll run for reelection in 2006. Wu 54, Ameri 45, Others 1
OR-5: Darlene Hooley always seems to have competitive races, but she prevails by strong margins every time. With Kerry doing much better in her district than Gore did, look for Hooley to put away GOPer Jim Zupancic by an easy margin. Hooley 55, Zupancic 43, Others 2
PENNSYLVANIA- Much like in 2000, Pennsylvania has been much-ballyhooed as a tossup. Once again, they underestimate the power of Ed Rendell. Now Governor Rendell, he turned a coin-flip in 2000 to a call for Al Gore just forty eight minutes after the polls closed. I predict he'll do it again this year, and give Kerry a good-sized win. Kerry 52, Bush 46, Others 2
PA US Senate- GOP Senator Arlen Specter has run a good general election race, after nearly losing in the primary to GOP Congressman Pat Toomey. Democrat Joe Hoeffel simply never got off the ground, while Constitution Party candidate Jim Clymer will run strong, but won't cost Specter the race. Look for Specter to retire in 2010. Specter 50, Hoeffel 41, Clymer 8, Others 1
PA-6: The House races in Pennsylvania will be generally good for Democrats. Starting with PA-6, the tide of Kerry support here (he'll win here by a good margin) will drag down Congressman Jim Gerlach, who won by just 5,000 votes in 2002. He faces Democrat Lois Murphy, who's run an excellent campaign, and who will benefit greatly from Kerry's coatails.
Murphy 51, Gerlach 47, Others 2
PA-8: Ginny Schrader...ah yes, what an amazing story. I know that a lot of people believe that I got her campaign off the ground with my article on her on July 19th, but I'm not going to jinx her chances on November 2nd by saying "Yes" to that now. However, with Kerry doing well here and the abortion issue working for Ginny, I think she'll pull off a win. Schrader 50, Fitzpatrick 48, Others 2
PA-13: Look for Allyson Schwartz to put away Melissa Brown once and for all. Schwartz has run a perfect campaign, and Brown has become old hat for much of the district's residents. Schwartz will be an easy winner in this once-tossup race. Schwartz 54, Brown 44, Others 2
PA-15: This race has not really been discussed, even though Democrat Joe Driscoll has run a strong campaign with plenty of cash, outraising GOPer Charlie Dent. Although Dent has the lead, Kerry will win here, which boosts Driscoll a good deal. Still, Dent should be able to hold on here narrowly, although a Driscoll win would be superb news for the DCCC. Dent 51, Driscoll 47, Others 2
RHODE ISLAND- Kerry in a landslide. In other news, the sun rose from the east today... Kerry 62, Bush 35, Others 3
SOUTH CAROLINA-Look for Bush to turn in a less than stellar peformance here. The economy has been bad, and while Kerry has not campaigned here, the Democrats in the Palmetto State have done an excellent job of registering African-Americans in droves. Bush 53, Kerry 45, Others 2
SC US Senate-An upset for Inez Tenenbaum? I'm not sure, honestly. Mason-Dixon has her closing in on Jim DeMint, but DeMint has Bush's coatails to latch onto. Still, if any competitive race is going to go Republican, it's this one. I'm going to put down DeMint here, but if new polling comes out in favor of Inez I will change that predicition in a heartbeat. DeMint 50, Tenenbaum 47, Others 3
SOUTH DAKOTA- Look for Bush to win here by a far smaller margin than in 2000. The tight Senate and House races have pulled Kerry closer, but Bush will still win here fairly easily. Look for Kerry to peform closer to Dukakis in 1988 than Gore in 2000. Bush 53, Kerry 45, Others 2
SD US Senate-With polls showing an utter tossup, I'm going to have to go with my gut and predict Thune, for the moment. Daschle has ran a great campaign, but so has Thune, and the incumbent rule still applies here (as in Kentucky and Alaska). The race will depend on GOTV operations, and Daschle is a wizard on those. But, in the end, Bush's coatails here (as small as they are) will be just enough for Thune to knock off the Senate Minority Leader. I'll be quite happy to be wrong, just as I was with Tim Johnson in 2002 (I predicted Thune then, as well). Thune 50.4, Daschle 49.6.
(On a side note, I consider Senator Daschle to be one of the nicest guys in Washington. At the DNC in Boston, he gave me his own floor pass when I approached him out of the blue for one (I had never met him before, or since). That he'd be willing to help out a total stranger means a lot to me. God Bless you, Senator)
SD-At Large-Fortunately, the same fate I have predicted (with sadness) for Tom Daschle will not apply to Stephanie Herseth. With polls showing her narowly ahead of Larry Deidrich, she has enough support (including the NRA) to make it to victory. Look for her, if she stays in Congress, to challenge for the US Senate someday. Herseth 51, Deidrich 48, Others 1
TENNESSEE- When Al Gore failed to carry his home state, it was a sign that the state was trending Republican on the National level. Despite some polls showing Kerry behind by a small margin here, I'm going with Bush winning easily here. Bush 52, Kerry 46, Others 2
TEXAS-It's Bush homestate-he'd better win here! Bush 60, Kerry 38, Others 2
The Texas 5: I spoke to a Democratic insider in Texas this weekend, and he/she provided some valuable insight. In short, he/she thinks that the Democrats will do well here amongst these five. I do, too. With the information I got, I'm predicting the following:
TX-1: Sandlin over Gohmert, 52-47
TX-2: Lampson over Poe, 51-48
TX-17: Edwards over Woehlmeguth, 54-46
TX-19: Neugebauer over Stenholm, 52-47
TX-32: Frost edges Sessions, 50-49
In short, 4 of the 5 survive, with a GOP gain in the delegation thanks to Tom DeLay. DeLay has a tough race as well, thanks to his scandals. However, the GOP tilt of the district is so strong that not even Richard Morrison, with all his efforts can unseat him. DeLay wins by a close shave, 51-48.
UTAH-Utah will be a great place to be a Republican on Election Night. Look for Bush to win big here, for example. Bush 64, Kerry 31, Others 5
UT US Senate-Paul VanDam is a great guy, but he won't come even close to beating GOP Senator Bob Bennett. Bennett 65, VanDam 33, Others 2
UT GOV-Once a top pickup opportunity for the Democrats, GOPer John Huntsman has pulled away by hanging onto Bush's coatails. Democrat Scott Matheson, Jr. put up a stiff fight, but it won't matter. Huntsman 54, Matheson 44, Others 2
UT-2: Look for Scott's brother, Congressman Jim Matheson to win, however. His lead over GOPer John Swallow has shrunk, but Matheson has enough in the tank to hang on again. Matheson 53, Swallow 46, Others 1
VERMONT-Kerry will here easily, as Bush never bothered to campaign here, and Cheney ticked off the state by cursing out their senior Senator, Pat Leahy.
Kerry 55, Bush 40, Others 5
VT US Senate: Leahy, btw, will win by a landslide over GOPer Jack McMullen.
Leahy 67, McMullen 30, Others 3
VT-GOV: Look for GOP Governor Jim Douglas to outlast the Kerry tide here and beat Dem/Progressive Peter Clavelle. Clavelle has run a good race, but so has Douglas, and one-term Governors here usually win a second.
Douglas 52, Clavelle 46, Others 2
VIRGINIA-This is my (other) upset pick in the Presidential race. Kerry has not put in much effort here, but polls continually show him close behind Bush. Turnout here has been extraordinarily high for Democratic areas, and while no GOP Congressman will lose, Bush will. Virginia has not voted Democratic for forty years, and now it will change. Kerry 50, Bush 48, Others 2
VA-2: Kerry's win will also give the Democrats an unexpected pickup. Democrat David Ashe has benefited from great media coverage (he's an Iraq War veteran) and from misteps from GOPer Thelma Drake. Bush won here with 55% in 2000, but that margin will be either much less or gone in 2004. Look for Ashe to pull off the win. Ashe 51, Drake 47, Others 2
WASHINGTON STATE- Kerry has been doing quite well here, enough for Bush to pull out in early October. Look for Kerry to have coatails as he wins big in the state. Kerry 54, Bush 42, Others 4
WA US Senate-Look for Senator Patty Murray to win big (again) as well. GOP Congressman George Nethercutt was supposed to be this year's Saxby Chambliss, but instead flopped as a statewide candidate. Murray is ahead comfortably, and will win comfortably as well. Murray 55, Nethercutt 43, Others 2
WA-GOV: Despite the strength of GOP nominee Dino Rossi, Democrat Christine Gregoire will benefit greatly from Kerry's coatails, and should be able to pull out the win. However, look for the GOP to pick up the AG's position.
Gregoire 52, Rossi 46, Others 2
WA-5: GOPer Cathy McMorris is pulling away here, much to the chagrin of Democrats, who hoped that Democrat Don Barbieri would take the seat back for the Democrats (it was once held by ex-Speaker Tom Foley). McMorris has run a strong campaign however, and will hold this seat for the GOP.
McMorris 52, Barbieri 46, Others 2
WA-8: Look for a Democratic pickup here. Democrat Dave Ross has run a strong campaign, as has GOP Sheriff David Reichert. However, the Kerry coatails here will be decisive. Ross will be an interesting Congressman, to say the least. Ross 51, Reichert 47, Others 2
WEST VIRGINIA-The days of Democratic dominance here are over. At least, on the Presidential level. Bush has maintained the lead over Kerry here, and should be able to win here. If not, expect an early concession from Bush.
Bush 51, Kerry 47, Others 2
WV-GOV: SOS Joe Manchin, III has never doubted he'll win here. Nor have I. His GOP opponent, Monty Warner has not run much of campaign. While Bush's win here will help Warner, it will be far from enough.
Manchin 54, Warner 43, Others 3
WISCONSIN-A few days ago, I would have predicted the state for Bush. But with new polls showing Kerry retaking the lead here, I have to change my prediction. Sorry, David! (Inside joke) Kerry will win by a slightly bigger margin than Gore did in 2000, thanks to Nader performing weaker than in 2000.
Kerry 49, Bush 47, Others 4
WI US Senate-Look for Democrat/Progressive Russ Feingold to win big, as all polls show him up by at least double-digits. GOPer Tim Michels never took off, even with NRSC help. Feingold will continue to be a great fighter for liberalism in the US Senate for another six years. Feingold 55, Michels 43, Others 2
WYOMING- Even if Cheney wasn't from Wyoming, Bush would win here by the same margin. Even with a Democratic Governor, Kerry can't make any inroads whatsoever. Bush 65, Kerry 31, Others 4
Look for GOP Congresswoman Barbara Cubin to win with about 55% against Democrat Ted Ladd, also. Cubin had a tough multi-candidate primary and Ladd has run a good race. Still, it's Wyoming.
Well, that's all, folks. If anyone has points or polls to add, let me know. My e-mail is stephenyellin@yahoo.com and my IM is MrLiberal2032 . I'll keep you all posted until Election Night, when I'll be watching history with my family. On November 3rd, I'll report on what's occured.
