Blogswarm - Online Political News Magazine



Tuesday, November 02, 2004
Diebold

Those fucking bastards at Diebold.  Sure, everyone loves Bush. Thanks for voting...asshole.

Posted at 11:49 pm by blog swarm
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long lines

Keep the polls open!

Posted at 10:23 pm by blog swarm
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FIND OUT WHERE TO VOTE
VOTE

Compare|Decide|Vote



Where to vote - Polling Place - www.MyPollingPlace.com 



Election Protection Hotline: 1-866-OUR-VOTE (1-866-687-8683) for immediate legal assistance

Posted at 03:02 pm by blog swarm
 

Kerry Landslide - GOTV

Compare the final polling numbers with the exit polling numbers and you'll see that the pollsters failed to capture what was going on:

Final Polling:

by Jerome Armstrong

Frm NJ's Hotline, a rundown of the final national poll conducted by major media and polling organizations.:
                                                   Bush Kerry Nader
ABC News/Wash. Post (10/28-31; 2,904 LVs; +/- 2%)   49%  48%	1%
American Research Grp (10/28-30;1,258 LVs; +/-2.8%) 48   48	1     
CBS/New York Times (10/29-11/1; 939 LVs; +/-3%)     49   47	1
CNN/USA Today/Gallup (10/29-31; 1,573 LVs; +/-3%)   49   49	1
Democracy Corps (D) (10/29-31; 1,018 LVs; +/-3.1%)  47   48	1
Fox News (10/30-31; 1,200 LVs; +/-3%)               46   48     1
GWU/Battleground (11/1; 500 LVs; +/-3.1%)           50   46     1
Harris (10/29-11/1; 1,092 LVs; +/-3%)               49   48     2
ICR (10/27-31; 473 LVs; +/- 4.5%)*                  48   47     1
Marist (11/1; 987 LVs; +/-3.5%)                     49   50     *
NBC/WSJ (10/29-31; 1,014 LVs; +/-3.1%)              48   47     1
Newsweek (10/27-29; 882 LVs; +/-4%)                 50   44     1
Pew (10/27-30; 1,925 LVs; +/-2.5%)                  48   45     1
TIPP (10/30-11/1; 1,284 LVs; +/-2.8%)               50   48     1
Zogby Int'l/Reuters (10/29-31; 1208 LVs; +/-3%)     48   47     1
Economist/YouGov (10/29-11/1; 1870 LV)              47   50     1
Rasmussen Reports (11/1)                            50   48     -

*Conducted in the batteleground states of 
AZ, AR, FL, IA, LA, MI, MN,MO, NV, NH, 
NM, OH, OR, PA, WA and WI.


Exit Polls:

by Jerome Armstrong

Here is some of the early VNS data, fwiw:
	 AZ  CO  LA  PA  OH  FL  MI  NM  MN  WI  IA  NH
Kerry	 45  48  42  60  52  51  51  50  58  52  49  57
Bush	 55  51  57  40  48  48  47  48  40  43  49  41
Now, mind that these are early numbers. And even if correct, they reflect the ones most wanting to vote, and it's still a long way to go... but wow, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire & Minnesota voters can't wait to boot Bush!

Not only is Kerry not losing, but he's winning. At this point in the day the Kerry campaign would be happy to be five or six points down, but instead they're winning? Huge in Pennsylvania!
Get out the vote!

Posted at 03:01 pm by blog swarm
 

VNS exit polling

by Jerome Armstrong

Here is some of the early VNS data, fwiw:

	 AZ  CO  LA  MI  WI  PA  OH  FL  MI  NM  MN  WI  IA  NH
Kerry	 45  48  42  51  52  60  52  51  51  50  58  52  49  57
Bush	 55  51  57  48  48  40  48  48  47  48  40  43  49  41
Now, mind that these are early numbers. And even if correct, they reflect the ones most wanting to vote, and it's still a long way to go... but wow, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire & Minnesota voters can't wait to boot Bush!

Wow. Kerry should be down 5-6 points, Democrats don't vote in the morning. Who are all of these people? Has the youth surge arrived?

Look at Pennsylvania.

Posted at 02:02 pm by blog swarm
 

Exit Polls

Atrios warning on exit polls:
Exit Polls

The first round will be leaked soon. With any luck they'll be leaked to me too. But, it's important to remember that a) exit polls posted on right wing sites are likely bullshit. And, b) even if they're "accurate" they're still bullshit, because exit polls always favor Republican voters in the AM...
Early Exits
by Chris Bowers

I have no idea what they are going to be, but don't believe a word they tell you--good or bad. In 2000, the early exits were way off:
     Gore EE Margin  Final Result
FL	+3		tied
MI	-5		 +5
MN	-8		 +2
OH	+3		 -3
So forget Drudge and early exits--look only at turnout. Keep getting out the vote!

Posted at 01:54 pm by blog swarm
 

Pearl Jam: Vote

http://pearljam.com/voterinfo.html

Pearl Jam:

Compare/Decide/Vote
Compare the candidates and see where they stand on issues that effect us all, ranging from healthcare to the environment. Then take it to the polls on November 2nd!

My Polling Place
Find your polling place, learn on what type of machine you will cast your vote and get instructions on how to use that machine. Type in your address, and My Polling Place will help you do the rest.

State Voting Laws
Learn your voting rights on leaving work to head to the polls.

America Coming Together (ACT)
America Coming Together is the largest voter mobilization project in American history. Knocking on doors and speaking the truth, America Coming Together canvassers are laying the groundwork to defeat George W. Bush and elect Democrats in federal, state, and local elections in 2004.

www.punkvoter.com
NOFX’s Fat Mike and others empower punkers to activate the punk base and engage in the political process.

www.musicforamerica.org
Music for America is an indie nonprofit political organization getting young voters fired up to participate in the 2004 elections. Through live concerts and an interactive website, they are connecting culture and politics, exposing political hypocrisies, and igniting a grassroots movement. Music for America has been a part of over a thousand shows since October 2003 - including Death Cab for Cutie, Sonic Youth, Modest Mouse and many more.

www.moveon.org
An online army of everyday people changing the face of politics in America.

www.declareyourself.org
Norman Lear’s national nonpartisan, nonprofit campaign, working to energize and empower a new movement of young voters to participate in the 2004 presidential election.

www.tellusthetruth.org
The Tell us the Truth tour was a highly successful 13-date national tour in 2003 that raised awareness on issues of fair trade and media consolidation. This site provides information on the key issues highlighted on the tour, as well as a tour diary and information on future events, which will likely include a tour in the Fall of 2004.

www.rockthevote.com
Rock the Vote engages youth in the political process by incorporating the entertainment community and youth culture into its activities.

Posted at 01:22 pm by blog swarm
 

Democracy for America

DfA Resources:

Election Day Resources

Getting to the Polls:
DFA Poll Schedules (openings and closings across the nation)
Google Poll Locator
Declare Yourself
My Polling Place
My Polling Site
Voter Alert Line: 1-866-MYVOTE1 (find polling location)


Reporting Problems:
MoveOn's Election Protection Card (.pdf)
Know your voting rights (scroll down the page)
Election Protection Hotline: 1-866-OUR-VOTE (1-866-687-8683)
Election Protection is a nonpartisan coalition of civil rights and civic organizations committed to protecting your right to cast your ballot. The hotline is an immediate, on-the-spot resource staffed by lawyers and law students trained to resolve your problem.
Voter Alert Line: 1-866-MYVOTE1
A toll-free telecommunications system that allows voters who are experiencing difficulty in the voting process to record (in English or Spanish) a brief statement of their problem, and transfer, at no cost, to their local county/municipal board of election.
MSNBC Voter Alert Line Call Volume by State


Election Results:
CNN Electoral Scorecard
CNN Balance of Power (Senate, House and Governor)
MSNBC: Decision 2004 Map
DCCC Resultron (XML)
CNN Exit Polls by State
New York Times Election Guide

Posted at 01:06 pm by blog swarm
 

Election Day Resources

Yahoo News:

• Still trying to find where you need to go to vote today? Check out MyPollingPlace.com or MyPollingSite.com (if you can get on either site, which are balky today, probably due to traffic overload) . The latter has a helpful interactive map of the United States, which can be clicked by state and drilled down by county for finding your local polling location. Many of the major newspaper sites' election packages also allow readers to search for candidate information by Zip code.

• Electoral Vote Predictor 2004 gives a running tally of where the blue (Kerry) states and red (Bush) states stand. This site even has downloadable spreadsheets on the latest polling data and other geek-friendly features for the obsessive election watcher (such as an Electoral College (news - web sites) graph and online records for both Bush and Kerry). Electoral College Vote Calculator is another fun tool for Election Day monitoring.

• Presidential Guidester is aimed at the undecided voters who are looking for a machine to match their beliefs with the opinions of others and find like-minded candidates to vote for. The site is produced by polling firm Zogby International and Decidia, a paid search company. The site explains that "Presidential Guidester allows users to select economic, social and budgetary issues, along with personal attributes of the candidates, and then provides a 'match percentage' to show which candidate best represents their point of view." Wired News today has its own write-up of the vote-matching service, as does CNET.

• Some good spots to check past election statistics: a chart on election turnout by state from the 2000 election and a tally of historical election results from the Office of the Federal Register. Jonathan Dube of Cyberjournalist.net and MSNBC.com pointed readers to these links too, and a lot of other interesting election links in his own tip sheet.

• MSNBC.com today is running an interesting clearinghouse of stories from the polls across the nation and is tracking problems reported by voters. The news organization is mapping complaint calls made to the Voter Alert Line, 1-866-MYVOTE-1. (MSNBC.com has a partnership with The Washington Post Co.)

• The Wall Street Journal subscription-only site's Election 2004 page features a rundown of sound bytes from the candidates and other figures each day, accessible from a clickable calendar.

• The Christian Science Monitor's Decision 2004 page has a unique election issues quiz. The paper also has a "Color of Victory" map to highlight the swing states, which is a good primer on understanding which states vote blue and which vote red.

• The New York Times' election page also features an interactive map with fundraising statistics and a look at how each state looks heading into Election Day. The Times has produced a PDF crib sheet of sorts on where Bush and Kerry stand on various issues, including the economy, abortion, the environment and Social Security (news - web sites). Check out "Times on the Trail," a blog-like feature with posting of daily campaign news.

• USA Today's blog-type feature is ElectionLine, which has daily updates of news from the campaign trail and a sidebar of the headline of the day culled from other newspapers, is worth a read since it has timely updates on polls and also snippets of election news from the battleground states, including Florida. The paper's election page also has a helpful citizen's center to link readers to government services, elected officials and a local media guide, searchable by Zip code.

• washingtonpost.com's election coverage also has this handy feature and a candidate search database. The site's Electoral College map will be updated throughout the election, and its Election Scorecard PDF form will come in handy for those of you handicapping the race in electoral-vote pools. For more information on the Electoral College, the Boston Globe, the paper of record for Kerry's home state of Massachusetts, has a helpful primer on the Electoral College.

• The Los Angeles Times' online site has an interesting interactive poll, complete with 2004 statistics and a map of results from the hotly contested 2000 race. The poll can be found on the same spot with a state-by-state look at polling results, thanks to data from PollingReport.com.

• The San Jose Mercury News -- which covers the tech hub of Silicon Valley -- has some of its better election coverage in its online columns and blogs. Tech columnist Dan Gillmor's blog has focused a lot of attention on e-voting woes in California, but also includes posts on tech topics ranging from Google to blogging. The paper has a graphic on the swing states, with links to coverage from various Knight-Ridder papers in a number of the states. Another blog, written by a team of Knight-Ridder journalists, is worth a look since it gathers string from different spots on the campaign trail. Another newspaper blog on the campaign to check out: the Cleveland Plain Dealer.

• Wonder how much your vote matters? The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel's Web site, covering the swing state of Wisconsin, has an interesting graphic explaining how much each vote does, or doesn't count.

• Both Bush and Kerry have tried their hand at speaking Spanish on the campaign trail to appeal to Latino voters. The Miami Herald's Spanish language edition, El Nuevo Herald, is one of the better spots to find U.S. election coverage in Spanish. The Senate race from the state is being closely watched by Latino voters, with Cuban-born candidate Mel Martinez, a Republican backed by the brothers Bush, against Democrat Betty Castor. The paper and the BBC teamed up for an audio special on the impact of the Latino vote.

• Elections aren't just for citizens old enough to vote. Getting kids involved in the excitement of Election Day is a bit easier with some helpful online guides. Check out TakeYourKidsToVote.org, which has some helpful primers on the Electoral College and other fun voting facts. It's offered by the Council for Excellence in Government. One activity for elementary students is an electoral map that can be colored in as results come in. KidsVotingUSA has a collection of links for younger people, including a link to the White House for Kids site.

• CNN.com has one of the sharper online election sections for a broadcast outlet. There's a list of the candidates' schedules, a fun "race tracker" feature, where you can track 20 races out of the 500 that CNN is covering. Fox News has its own race tracker. If you are away from the TV and want to watch rolling coverage of the election results (and have a high-speed Internet connection), C-SPAN's site is a great spot to watch the presidential election and other election day coverage.

• National Public Radio is also streaming audio reports of its coverage, with commentary on results after 8 p.m. tonight. NPR's "Debating the Electoral College" feature has a solid primer on the Electoral College.

• Bloggers have become part of the election coverage blitz and listing helpful blog sites to read for election coverage merits a list of its own. Blogs, or online Web logs, run the gamut from the left to right of the political spectrum and in between. Daily Kos, Talking Points Memo and law professor Glenn Reynolds's Instapundit.com are a few of my favorites for their strong voice, frequent posts and interesting message threads from readers in the blogoshphere. Blog search engine Technorati has a search tool to search political blogs and so does Feedster. Both are helpful starting points if you don't have a list of election 2004 blogs on your bookmark already.

Posted at 01:03 pm by blog swarm
 




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