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Wednesday, November 03, 2004
Youth Turnout

Estimated 21 Million 18-30 Year Old Americans Cast Votes in 2004 Presidential Election 

MTV's "Choose or Lose 2004" today announced that according to final national exit polls and early vote tallies an estimated 21 million 18-30 year olds voted in the 2004 presidential election according to an analysis provided by CIRCLE Research. The young adult vote in 2004 shows a sharp increase when compared to the nearly 18 million 18-30 year old votes cast in the 2000 presidential election. Key battleground states saw a marked increase in young voter turnout with one out of every five voters in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin under the age of 30.

http://www.civicyouth.org/

Youth Turnout Up Sharply in 2004!
Read
CIRCLE's Release on Youth Voting in 2004

  • 4.6 million more 18-29 year olds voted than in 2000.
  • Youth turnout up 9 percentage points.

Posted at 04:55 pm by blog swarm
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Posted at 04:08 pm by blog swarm
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Posted at 04:04 pm by blog swarm
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Tuesday, November 02, 2004
Diebold

Those fucking bastards at Diebold.  Sure, everyone loves Bush. Thanks for voting...asshole.

Posted at 11:49 pm by blog swarm
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long lines

Keep the polls open!

Posted at 10:23 pm by blog swarm
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FIND OUT WHERE TO VOTE
VOTE

Compare|Decide|Vote



Where to vote - Polling Place - www.MyPollingPlace.com 



Election Protection Hotline: 1-866-OUR-VOTE (1-866-687-8683) for immediate legal assistance


Posted at 03:02 pm by blog swarm
 

Kerry Landslide - GOTV

Compare the final polling numbers with the exit polling numbers and you'll see that the pollsters failed to capture what was going on:

Final Polling:

by Jerome Armstrong

Frm NJ's Hotline, a rundown of the final national poll conducted by major media and polling organizations.:
                                                   Bush Kerry Nader
ABC News/Wash. Post (10/28-31; 2,904 LVs; +/- 2%)   49%  48%	1%
American Research Grp (10/28-30;1,258 LVs; +/-2.8%) 48   48	1     
CBS/New York Times (10/29-11/1; 939 LVs; +/-3%)     49   47	1
CNN/USA Today/Gallup (10/29-31; 1,573 LVs; +/-3%)   49   49	1
Democracy Corps (D) (10/29-31; 1,018 LVs; +/-3.1%)  47   48	1
Fox News (10/30-31; 1,200 LVs; +/-3%)               46   48     1
GWU/Battleground (11/1; 500 LVs; +/-3.1%)           50   46     1
Harris (10/29-11/1; 1,092 LVs; +/-3%)               49   48     2
ICR (10/27-31; 473 LVs; +/- 4.5%)*                  48   47     1
Marist (11/1; 987 LVs; +/-3.5%)                     49   50     *
NBC/WSJ (10/29-31; 1,014 LVs; +/-3.1%)              48   47     1
Newsweek (10/27-29; 882 LVs; +/-4%)                 50   44     1
Pew (10/27-30; 1,925 LVs; +/-2.5%)                  48   45     1
TIPP (10/30-11/1; 1,284 LVs; +/-2.8%)               50   48     1
Zogby Int'l/Reuters (10/29-31; 1208 LVs; +/-3%)     48   47     1
Economist/YouGov (10/29-11/1; 1870 LV)              47   50     1
Rasmussen Reports (11/1)                            50   48     -

*Conducted in the batteleground states of 
AZ, AR, FL, IA, LA, MI, MN,MO, NV, NH, 
NM, OH, OR, PA, WA and WI.


Exit Polls:

by Jerome Armstrong

Here is some of the early VNS data, fwiw:
	 AZ  CO  LA  PA  OH  FL  MI  NM  MN  WI  IA  NH
Kerry	 45  48  42  60  52  51  51  50  58  52  49  57
Bush	 55  51  57  40  48  48  47  48  40  43  49  41
Now, mind that these are early numbers. And even if correct, they reflect the ones most wanting to vote, and it's still a long way to go... but wow, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire & Minnesota voters can't wait to boot Bush!

Not only is Kerry not losing, but he's winning. At this point in the day the Kerry campaign would be happy to be five or six points down, but instead they're winning? Huge in Pennsylvania!
Get out the vote!

Posted at 03:01 pm by blog swarm
 

VNS exit polling

by Jerome Armstrong

Here is some of the early VNS data, fwiw:

	 AZ  CO  LA  MI  WI  PA  OH  FL  MI  NM  MN  WI  IA  NH
Kerry	 45  48  42  51  52  60  52  51  51  50  58  52  49  57
Bush	 55  51  57  48  48  40  48  48  47  48  40  43  49  41
Now, mind that these are early numbers. And even if correct, they reflect the ones most wanting to vote, and it's still a long way to go... but wow, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire & Minnesota voters can't wait to boot Bush!

Wow. Kerry should be down 5-6 points, Democrats don't vote in the morning. Who are all of these people? Has the youth surge arrived?

Look at Pennsylvania.

Posted at 02:02 pm by blog swarm
 

Exit Polls

Atrios warning on exit polls:
Exit Polls

The first round will be leaked soon. With any luck they'll be leaked to me too. But, it's important to remember that a) exit polls posted on right wing sites are likely bullshit. And, b) even if they're "accurate" they're still bullshit, because exit polls always favor Republican voters in the AM...
Early Exits
by Chris Bowers

I have no idea what they are going to be, but don't believe a word they tell you--good or bad. In 2000, the early exits were way off:
     Gore EE Margin  Final Result
FL	+3		tied
MI	-5		 +5
MN	-8		 +2
OH	+3		 -3
So forget Drudge and early exits--look only at turnout. Keep getting out the vote!

Posted at 01:54 pm by blog swarm
 




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